It's Just a Matter of Time Before Mortgage Rates Go Down!
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Over the course of this past year, the rise in mortgage rates has slowed down the red-hot housing market. In nine months, we have seen fewer homes sold than in the previous months as home price growth has slowed. All because the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate has doubled this year, severely limiting homebuying power for consumers. Moreover, this month, the average rate for financing a home briefly rose over 7% before coming back down into the high 6% range. But we’re starting to see a hint of what mortgage interest rates could look like next year.
Inflation Is the Enemy of Long-Term Interest Rates
As long as inflation is high, we’ll see higher mortgage rates. Over the past couple of weeks, we’ve seen indications that inflation may be cooling, giving us a glimpse into what may happen in the future. The mortgage market is eagerly awaiting positive news on inflation. As Ali Wolf, Chief Economist at Zonda, says:
“The housing market is expected to face continued uncertainty heading into 2023 as consumers, financial markets, and policymakers work through their respective challenges in today’s economy. . . . we are watching for any additional stability in the MBS market, signs of cooling inflation, and/or less aggressive Federal Reserve action to give us confidence that mortgage rates are past their peak.”
What Does This Mean for the Future of Mortgage Rates?
As we get through the inflation battle and start to see that coming down, we should expect mortgage rates to follow. We’ve seen nods of this over the past couple of weeks. As the Federal Reserve works to bring inflation down, mortgage rates will come down as well. Bill McBride from Calculated Risk says:
“My current view is inflation will ease quicker than the Fed currently expects.”
As we look toward next year, we certainly hope he’s right.
Bottom Line
Mortgage rates will come down – it’s just a matter of time. The hope is we continue to see more positive news on inflation, and that’ll bring mortgage rates down. This will give prospective homebuyers more buying power and lead to more homeowners throughout the country.
Edge Realty was founded in 1990 in the waterfront community of Edgewood, Rhode Island, inspired by the richness of the architecture and the quintessential Ocean State coastline. With a background in the arts, we took our creativity and strategic thinking into Real Estate. Since then, Edge Realty opened its South County and Newport locations, and has continued to expand; now operating throughout Rhode Island, Massachusetts and Connecticut, with referral partners worldwide. With three strong decades of sales in all aspects of real estate, from first time buyers to luxury homes, Edge Realty has sold thousands of properties- including one-of-a-kind architect designed homes, historic time pieces, and whimsical beach cottages. We bring the Art of Real Estate to you – with a Creative Edge.
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